Joao Fonseca vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction – ATP – 13th March 2025 Best Bets

Joao Fonseca and Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fonseca vs Struff Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Struff has a 50.99% win this match.

Fonseca → 1.54. Struff → 2.44.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fonseca vs Struff Upcoming Match Details:

Fonseca will play Struff on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fonseca 0-0 Struff

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fonseca comes into this match with a ranking of 80 , while Struff is ranked 46.

Fonseca vs Struff Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Struff has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Fonseca has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Struff has won 22% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fonseca has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Struff has been saving 65% of his breakpoints, and Fonseca has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Struff performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 272/168) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 45% (W/L 28/34). Fonseca performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 20/7), and performs worse on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 2/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Joao Fonseca has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Joao Fonseca played Pavel Kotov in the First round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:29:15 . Jan-Lennard Struff played Gael Monfils in the First round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:24:48.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Joao Fonseca and Jan-Lennard Struff

Of their last 10 matches played, Fonseca has won 7, while Struff has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Fonseca has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Struff has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fonseca Vs Struff

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fonseca has won 3 titles in his career, while Jan-Lennard Struff has won 16 events. Fonseca has won 51% (7595 of 14862) of points played in his entire career, and Struff has achieved 51% (65537 of 129108). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fonseca has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (24 of 37), whereas Jan-Lennard Struff has won 49% (226 of 459). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jan-Lennard Struff has an 50.99% probability of winning this match.

Joao Fonseca vs Jan-Lennard Struff Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Joao Fonseca has a 49.01% chance of winning and Jan-Lennard Struff has a 50.99% chance of taking the victory. We tip Struff to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Joao Fonseca vs Jan-Lennard Struff

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Joao Fonseca

• Fonseca vs Cobolli H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Fonseca vs Spizzirri H2H (0-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Fonseca H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Opelka vs Fonseca H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jan-Lennard Struff

• Struff vs Cobolli H2H (3-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Struff vs Spizzirri H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Struff H2H (2-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Opelka vs Struff H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals