Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP Monte – 12th April 2025 Best Bets

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Carlos Alcaraz Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fokina vs Alcaraz Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 76.34% chance to win this match.

Fokina → 3.82. Alcaraz → 1.31.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fokina vs Alcaraz Upcoming Match Details:

Fokina will play Alcaraz on Clay court in the Semifinals at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 12th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fokina 0-1 Alcaraz

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Fokina comes into this match with a ranking of 42 , while Alcaraz is ranked 3.

Fokina vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Fokina has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fokina has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Fokina has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13). Fokina performs best on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 113/73), and performs worse on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 10/13).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina played Alexei Popyrin in the Quarterfinals at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 6-3 6-2 in 01:09:31 . Carlos Alcaraz played Arthur Fils in the Quarterfinals at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 4-6 7-5 6-3 in 02:23:42.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Carlos Alcaraz

Of their last 10 matches played, Fokina has won 7, while Alcaraz has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Fokina has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Megan@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fokina Vs Alcaraz

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fokina has won 3 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 25 events. Fokina has won 51% (35793 of 70415) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (31793 of 59748). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fokina has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (87 of 179), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 65% (104 of 161). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 76.31% probability of winning this match.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 23.69% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 76.31% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• Minaur vs Fokina H2H () , could play in The Final
• Musetti vs Fokina H2H () , could play in The Final

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz

• Minaur vs Alcaraz H2H (undefined), could play in The Final
• Musetti vs Alcaraz H2H (undefined), could play in The Final