Fabio Fognini vs Constant Lestienne Prediction – ATP – 13th March 2025 Best Bets

Fabio Fognini and Constant Lestienne Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fognini vs Lestienne Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fognini has a 64.5% win this match.

Fognini → 1.88. Lestienne → 1.85.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fognini vs Lestienne Upcoming Match Details:

Fognini will play Lestienne on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Cap Cana Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fognini 0-0 Lestienne

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fognini comes into this match with a ranking of 95 , while Lestienne is ranked 176.

Fognini vs Lestienne Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Lestienne has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Fognini has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Lestienne has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fognini has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Lestienne has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Fognini has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Lestienne performs best on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 104/61) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 39% (W/L 11/17). Fognini performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 467/276), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 42% (W/L 45/62).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Constant Lestienne has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Fabio Fognini has converted 41% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Fabio Fognini played Tristan Schoolkate in the First round at the Cap Cana Challenger and won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in 01:59:38 . Constant Lestienne played Cameron Norrie in the First round at the Cap Cana Challenger and won 6-4 7-5 in 01:41:37.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Fabio Fognini and Constant Lestienne

Of their last 10 matches played, Fognini has won 6, while Lestienne has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Fognini has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Lestienne has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fognini Vs Lestienne

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fognini has won 26 titles in his career, while Constant Lestienne has won 14 events. Fognini has won 50% (75856 of 152184) of points played in his entire career, and Lestienne has achieved 51% (45410 of 89111). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fognini has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (227 of 407), whereas Constant Lestienne has won 52% (125 of 241). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Fabio Fognini has an 64.5% probability of winning this match.

Fabio Fognini vs Constant Lestienne Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Fabio Fognini To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Fabio Fognini has a 64.5% chance of winning and Constant Lestienne has a 35.5% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fognini to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Fabio Fognini vs Constant Lestienne

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Cap Cana Challenger, go here.