Fabio Fognini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP Wimbledon – 30th June 2025 Best Bets

Share:
Fabio Fognini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP Wimbledon  – 30th June 2025 Best Bets

Fabio Fognini and Carlos Alcaraz Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fognini Vs Alcaraz H2H Summary Stats 30th June 2025

Fognini vs Alcaraz Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 93.46% chance to win this match.

Fognini → 14.86. Alcaraz → 1.07.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fognini vs Alcaraz Upcoming Match Details:

Fognini will play Alcaraz on Grass court in the First round at the ATP Wimbledon event in London Men’s Singles 2025 on 30th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fognini 0-2 Alcaraz

The current Head to Head score is 0-2. Fognini comes into this match with a ranking of 138 , while Alcaraz is ranked 2.

Fognini vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Fognini has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fognini has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Fognini has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 91% (W/L 29/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13). Fognini performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 470/284), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 42% (W/L 45/62).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Fabio Fognini has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Fabio Fognini played Daniel Altmaier in the First round at the Mallorca Championships – Mallorca and lost 6-3 3-6 6-3 in 01:47:13 . Carlos Alcaraz played Jiri Lehecka in the Final at the cinch Championships – London and won 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 in 02:08:02.

Tennis Predictions

$49.99
$ 29
99 Per Month
  •  
Popular

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Fognini Vs Alcaraz Prediction Stats At Wimbledon  Day 1

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Fabio Fognini and Carlos Alcaraz

Of their last 10 matches played, Fognini has won 2, while Alcaraz has won 10. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Fognini has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 416.59 , while Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 96.75.

Amanda@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fognini Vs Alcaraz

Fognini Vs Alcaraz Prediction H2H & All Wimbledon  Day 1 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fognini has won 26 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 29 events. Fognini has won 50% (76919 of 154436) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (34123 of 64019). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fognini has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (229 of 410), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 65% (114 of 175). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 95.81% probability of winning this match.

Fabio Fognini vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Fabio Fognini has a 4.19% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 95.81% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Fabio Fognini

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz