Fearnley vs Ymer Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 74.63% chance to win this match.
Fearnley → 1.34. Ymer → 3.62.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Fearnley vs Ymer Upcoming Match Details:
Fearnley will play Ymer on I.hard court in the Second round at the ATP BNP Paribas Nordic Open event in Stockholm Men’s Singles 2025 on 16th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Fearnley 0-0 Ymer
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fearnley comes into this match with a ranking of 81 , while Ymer is ranked 243.
Fearnley vs Ymer Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Ymer has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Fearnley has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Ymer has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fearnley has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Ymer has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Fearnley has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Ymer performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 241/168) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 46% (W/L 88/103). Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 81% (W/L 48/11), and performs worse on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 13/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Elias Ymer has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jacob Fearnley has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jacob Fearnley played Tallon Griekspoor in the First round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(5) in 02:44:02 . Elias Ymer played Mikael Ymer in the First round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-2 7-6(4) in 01:30:31.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Fearnley has won 6 titles in his career, while Elias Ymer has won 13 events. Fearnley has won 52% (9750 of 18675) of points played in his entire career, and Ymer has achieved 50% (52386 of 104471). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fearnley has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (22 of 38), whereas Elias Ymer has won 46% (125 of 270). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 75.55% probability of winning this match.
Jacob Fearnley vs Elias Ymer Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jacob Fearnley has a 75.55% chance of winning and Elias Ymer has a 24.45% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jacob Fearnley
- Fearnley vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elias Ymer
- Ymer vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
