Jacob Fearnley vs Quinn Vandecasteele Prediction – ATP Sumter Challenger – 12th August 2025 Best Bets

Jacob Fearnley and Quinn Vandecasteele Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fearnley vs Vandecasteele Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 89.29% chance to win this match.

Fearnley → 1.12. Vandecasteele → 7.55.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fearnley vs Vandecasteele Upcoming Match Details:

Fearnley will play Vandecasteele on Hard court in the Q3 round at the ATP Sumter Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 12th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fearnley 0-0 Vandecasteele

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fearnley comes into this match with a ranking of 57 , while Vandecasteele is ranked 730.

Fearnley vs Vandecasteele Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Vandecasteele has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Fearnley has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Vandecasteele has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fearnley has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Vandecasteele has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Fearnley has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Vandecasteele performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 2/1) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 30% (W/L 3/7). Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 82% (W/L 46/10), and performs worse on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 13/9).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jacob Fearnley has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Jacob Fearnley played Zizou Bergs in the First round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-1 6-4 in 01:20:52 . Quinn Vandecasteele played Justin Boulais in the Q1 round at the Sumter Challenger and won 7-6(2) 6-4 in 01:42:26.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jacob Fearnley and Quinn Vandecasteele

Of their last 10 matches played, Fearnley has won 3, while Vandecasteele has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Fearnley has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 284.67 , while Vandecasteele has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 366.19.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fearnley Vs Vandecasteele

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fearnley has won 6 titles in his career, while Quinn Vandecasteele has won 1 event. Fearnley has won 52% (9058 of 17328) of points played in his entire career, and Vandecasteele has achieved 50% (8669 of 17203). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fearnley has won 60% of tie breaks in his entire career (21 of 35), whereas Quinn Vandecasteele has won 53% (17 of 32). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 94.53% probability of winning this match.

Jacob Fearnley vs Quinn Vandecasteele Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jacob Fearnley has a 94.53% chance of winning and Quinn Vandecasteele has a 5.47% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Sumter Challenger, go here.