Jacob Fearnley vs Pavel Kotov Prediction – ATP Mutua Madrid Open – 21st April 2025 Best Bets

Jacob Fearnley and Pavel Kotov Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fearnley vs Kotov Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 55.25% chance to win this match.

Fearnley → 1.81. Kotov → 1.92.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fearnley vs Kotov Upcoming Match Details:

Fearnley will play Kotov on Clay court in the Q1 round at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fearnley 0-0 Kotov

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fearnley comes into this match with a ranking of 74 , while Kotov is ranked 121.

Fearnley vs Kotov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Kotov has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Fearnley has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Kotov has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fearnley has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Kotov has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Fearnley has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Kotov performs best on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 94/51) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 3/5). Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 82% (W/L 46/10), and performs worse on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 2/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Pavel Kotov has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jacob Fearnley has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Jacob Fearnley played Alex De Minaur in the Second round at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and lost 6-1 6-2 in 01:02:54 . Pavel Kotov played Norbert Gombos in the Quarterfinals at the Madrid Challenger and lost 6-7(8) 7-5 6-3 in 03:23:40.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jacob Fearnley and Pavel Kotov

Of their last 10 matches played, Fearnley has won 6, while Kotov has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Fearnley has won 0% of his own 2nd serve points and 0% of return points , while Kotov has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fearnley Vs Kotov

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fearnley has won 6 titles in his career, while Pavel Kotov has won 6 events. Fearnley has won 53% (7640 of 14458) of points played in his entire career, and Kotov has achieved 51% (34518 of 68295). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fearnley has won 68% of tie breaks in his entire career (19 of 28), whereas Pavel Kotov has won 54% (97 of 179). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 63.22% probability of winning this match.

Jacob Fearnley vs Pavel Kotov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jacob Fearnley has a 63.22% chance of winning and Pavel Kotov has a 36.78% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.