Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca Prediction Head To Head Summary

Fearnley vs Fonseca Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 56.65% win this match.

Fearnley → 2.29. Fonseca → 1.65.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Fearnley vs Fonseca Upcoming Match Details:

Fearnley will play Fonseca on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Fearnley 0-1 Fonseca

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Fearnley comes into this match with a ranking of 81 , while Fonseca is ranked 80.

Fearnley vs Fonseca Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fonseca has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Fearnley has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fonseca has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fearnley has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Fonseca has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Fearnley has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Fonseca performs best on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 2/4). Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 82% (W/L 46/10), and performs worse on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 10/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Joao Fonseca has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jacob Fearnley has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Jacob Fearnley played Lukas Klein in the Quarterfinals at the Pau Challenger and lost 6-3 6-3 in 01:22:01 . Joao Fonseca played Alexandre Muller in the First round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and lost 6-1 7-6(4) in 01:32:40.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca

Of their last 10 matches played, Fearnley has won 6, while Fonseca has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Fearnley has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Fonseca has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fearnley Vs Fonseca

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Fearnley has won 6 titles in his career, while Joao Fonseca has won 3 events. Fearnley has won 53% (6892 of 12943) of points played in his entire career, and Fonseca has achieved 51% (7389 of 14460). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fearnley has won 64% of tie breaks in his entire career (16 of 25), whereas Joao Fonseca has won 65% (24 of 37). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 56.65% probability of winning this match.

Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jacob Fearnley has a 56.65% chance of winning and Joao Fonseca has a 43.35% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jacob Fearnley

• Fearnley vs Aliassime H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Fearnley vs Brooksby H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Fearnley vs Bonzi H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Draper vs Fearnley H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Joao Fonseca

• Fonseca vs Aliassime H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Fonseca vs Brooksby H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Fonseca vs Bonzi H2H (0-1) , could play in The Third round
• Draper vs Fonseca H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round