Liam Draxl vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction – ATP National Bank Open – 29th July 2025 Best Bets

Liam Draxl and Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction Head To Head Summary

Draxl vs Carreno-Busta Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carreno-Busta has a 58.48% chance to win this match.

Draxl → 1.71. Carreno-Busta → 2.18.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Draxl vs Carreno-Busta Upcoming Match Details:

Draxl will play Carreno-Busta on Hard court in the First round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 29th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Draxl 0-0 Carreno-Busta

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Draxl comes into this match with a ranking of 113 , while Carreno-Busta is ranked 93.

Draxl vs Carreno-Busta Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carreno-Busta has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Draxl has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carreno-Busta has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Draxl has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carreno-Busta has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Draxl has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 350/183) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Draxl performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 50/22), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/1).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Liam Draxl has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Liam Draxl played August Holmgren in the Final at the Granby Challenger and lost 6-3 6-3 in 01:16:21 . Pablo Carreno-Busta played Gauthier Onclin in the Quarterfinals at the Lyon Challenger and lost 6-4 6-2 in 01:21:18.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Liam Draxl and Pablo Carreno-Busta

Of their last 10 matches played, Draxl has won 9, while Carreno-Busta has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Draxl has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 395.35 , while Carreno-Busta has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 125.54.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Draxl Vs Carreno-Busta

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Draxl has won 9 titles in his career, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 32 events. Draxl has won 53% (20552 of 39074) of points played in his entire career, and Carreno-Busta has achieved 51% (56097 of 109866). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Draxl has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (44 of 76), whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 57% (203 of 359). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Pablo Carreno-Busta has an 59.08% probability of winning this match.

Liam Draxl vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Liam Draxl has a 40.92% chance of winning and Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 59.08% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carreno-Busta to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Liam Draxl

• Fils vs Draxl H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Pablo Carreno-Busta

• Fils vs Carreno-Busta H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round