Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Prediction – ATP Santiago – 3rd March 2025 Best Bets

Laslo Djere and Sebastian Baez Prediction Head To Head Summary

Djere vs Baez Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baez has a 55.2% win this match.

Djere → 2.05. Baez → 1.79.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Djere vs Baez Upcoming Match Details:

Djere will play Baez on Clay court in the Final at the ATP Movistar Chile Open event in Santiago Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Djere 0-2 Baez

The current Head to Head score is 0-2. Djere comes into this match with a ranking of 103 , while Baez is ranked 31.

Djere vs Baez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baez has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Djere has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baez has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Djere has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Baez has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Djere has saved 62% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 224/91) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17). Djere performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 313/157), and performs worse on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 7/15).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Baez has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Laslo Djere has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Laslo Djere played Francisco Cerundolo in the Semifinals at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 6-1 4-6 6-3 in 02:01:32 . Sebastian Baez played Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Semifinals at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 6-1 3-6 6-2 in 01:47:13.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Laslo Djere and Sebastian Baez

Of their last 10 matches played, Djere has won 9, while Baez has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Djere has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Djere Vs Baez

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Djere has won 13 titles in his career, while Sebastian Baez has won 18 events. Djere has won 50% (44925 of 89336) of points played in his entire career, and Baez has achieved 52% (30177 of 58524). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Djere has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (145 of 286), whereas Sebastian Baez has won 50% (61 of 123). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 55.2% probability of winning this match.

Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Laslo Djere has a 44.8% chance of winning and Sebastian Baez has a 55.2% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago, go here.