Gabriel Diallo and Alex De Minaur Prediction Head To Head Summary
Diallo vs Minaur Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Minaur has a 76.92% chance to win this match.
Diallo → 3.92. Minaur → 1.3.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Diallo vs Minaur Upcoming Match Details:
Diallo will play Minaur on I.hard court in the Second round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 29th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Diallo 0-1 Minaur
The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Diallo comes into this match with a ranking of 42 , while Minaur is ranked 6.
Diallo vs Minaur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Minaur has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Diallo has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Minaur has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Diallo has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Minaur has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Diallo has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Diallo performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 50/26), and performs worse on Clay, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alex De Minaur has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gabriel Diallo has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Gabriel Diallo played Tallon Griekspoor in the First round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:11:40 . Alex De Minaur played Jannik Sinner in the Semifinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:27:54.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Diallo Vs Minaur
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Diallo has won 8 titles in his career, while Alex De Minaur has won 14 events. Diallo has won 51% (20100 of 39091) of points played in his entire career, and Minaur has achieved 52% (48659 of 94041). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Diallo has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (73 of 132), whereas Alex De Minaur has won 56% (129 of 230). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex De Minaur has an 68.55% probability of winning this match.
Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alex De Minaur To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gabriel Diallo has a 31.45% chance of winning and Alex De Minaur has a 68.55% chance of taking the victory. We tip Minaur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Gabriel Diallo
- Bublik vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Moutet vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fritz vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fonseca vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Third round
- Khachanov vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Third round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex De Minaur
- Bublik vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Moutet vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fritz vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fonseca vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
- Khachanov vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
