Gabriel Diallo vs Matteo Gigante Prediction – ATP National Bank Open – 30th July 2025 Best Bets

Gabriel Diallo and Matteo Gigante Prediction Head To Head Summary

Diallo vs Gigante Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Diallo has a 70.92% chance to win this match.

Diallo → 1.41. Gigante → 3.13.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Diallo vs Gigante Upcoming Match Details:

Diallo will play Gigante on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 30th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Diallo 1-1 Gigante

The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Diallo comes into this match with a ranking of 36 , while Gigante is ranked 125.

Diallo vs Gigante Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gigante has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Diallo has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gigante has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Diallo has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gigante has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Diallo has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gigante performs best on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 57/23) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 26% (W/L 9/25). Diallo performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 47/24), and performs worse on Clay, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Gigante has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gabriel Diallo has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Gabriel Diallo played Ben Shelton in the Third round at the Citi Open – Washington and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:01:35 . Matteo Gigante played Borna Coric in the First round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 4-6 6-2 7-6(2) in 02:36:57.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Gabriel Diallo and Matteo Gigante

Of their last 10 matches played, Diallo has won 6, while Gigante has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Diallo has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 172.36 , while Gigante has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 343.03.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Diallo Vs Gigante

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Diallo has won 8 titles in his career, while Matteo Gigante has won 6 events. Diallo has won 52% (18995 of 36866) of points played in his entire career, and Gigante has achieved 51% (19840 of 39041). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Diallo has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (70 of 125), whereas Matteo Gigante has won 56% (50 of 89). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Gabriel Diallo has an 75.68% probability of winning this match.

Gabriel Diallo vs Matteo Gigante Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Gabriel Diallo To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gabriel Diallo has a 75.68% chance of winning and Matteo Gigante has a 24.32% chance of taking the victory. We tip Diallo to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Gabriel Diallo

• Lehecka vs Diallo H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Mcdonald vs Diallo H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Carreno-Busta vs Diallo H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fils vs Diallo H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Diallo vs Fritz H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Third round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Gigante

• Lehecka vs Gigante H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Mcdonald vs Gigante H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Carreno-Busta vs Gigante H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fils vs Gigante H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Gigante vs Fritz H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Gigante vs Baena H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round