Gabriel Diallo vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 25th August 2025 Best Bets

Gabriel Diallo and Damir Dzumhur Prediction Head To Head Summary

Diallo vs Dzumhur Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Diallo has a 73.53% chance to win this match.

Diallo → 1.36. Dzumhur → 3.47.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Diallo vs Dzumhur Upcoming Match Details:

Diallo will play Dzumhur on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Diallo 0-0 Dzumhur

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Diallo comes into this match with a ranking of 33 , while Dzumhur is ranked 61.

Diallo vs Dzumhur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Dzumhur has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Diallo has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Dzumhur has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Diallo has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Dzumhur has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Diallo has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Dzumhur performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 322/190) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 16/20). Diallo performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 47/24), and performs worse on Clay, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Damir Dzumhur has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gabriel Diallo has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Gabriel Diallo played Hamad Medjedovic in the Third round at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and lost 6-4 6-2 in 01:23:39 . Damir Dzumhur played Carlos Alcaraz in the Second round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-1 2-6 6-3 in 01:41:39.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Gabriel Diallo and Damir Dzumhur

Of their last 10 matches played, Diallo has won 4, while Dzumhur has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Diallo has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 176.79 , while Dzumhur has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 224.25.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Diallo Vs Dzumhur

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Diallo has won 8 titles in his career, while Damir Dzumhur has won 35 events. Diallo has won 51% (19299 of 37512) of points played in his entire career, and Dzumhur has achieved 51% (61205 of 120847). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Diallo has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (71 of 127), whereas Damir Dzumhur has won 51% (144 of 283). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Gabriel Diallo has an 61.24% probability of winning this match.

Gabriel Diallo vs Damir Dzumhur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Gabriel Diallo To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gabriel Diallo has a 61.24% chance of winning and Damir Dzumhur has a 38.76% chance of taking the victory. We tip Diallo to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Gabriel Diallo

• Diallo vs Draper H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Gomez H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Bergs H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Faria H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Diallo vs Clar H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Damir Dzumhur

• Dzumhur vs Draper H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Dzumhur vs Gomez H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Dzumhur vs Bergs H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Dzumhur vs Faria H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Dzumhur vs Clar H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round