Gabriel Diallo and Borna Coric Prediction Head To Head Summary

Diallo vs Coric Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Coric has a 55.87% chance to win this match.
Diallo → 1.95. Coric → 1.79.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Diallo vs Coric Upcoming Match Details:
Diallo will play Coric on Clay court in the Q3 round at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Men’s Singles 2025 on 22nd April 2025.
Aleksandar Vukic
Kei Nishikori
Victoria Azarenka
Olga Danilovic
Suzan Lamens
Emma Raducanu
Federico Cina
Chak Lam Coleman Wong
Peyton Stearns
Kimberly Birrell
Roman Safiullin
Arthur Rinderknech
Alex Michelsen
Alexander Bublik
Zizou Bergs
Yoshihito Nishioka
David Goffin
Alexandre Muller
Damir Dzumhur
Mattia Bellucci
Veronika Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova
Alycia Parks
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Benjamin Bonzi
Marin Cilic
Roberto Bautista Agut
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
Mccartney Kessler
Bianca Vanessa Andreescu
Head-to-Head: Diallo 1-0 Coric
The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Diallo comes into this match with a ranking of 78 , while Coric is ranked 104.
Diallo vs Coric Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Coric has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Diallo has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Coric has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Diallo has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Coric has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Diallo has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Coric performs best on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 77/50) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 41% (W/L 12/17). Diallo performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 47/24), and performs worse on Grass, winning 47% (W/L 8/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Borna Coric has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gabriel Diallo has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Gabriel Diallo played Nicolas Moreno De Alboran in the Q1 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 6-3 6-3 in 01:10:08 . Borna Coric played Otto Virtanen in the Q1 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 6-7(1) 7-5 6-2 in 02:31:40.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Gabriel Diallo and Borna Coric
Of their last 10 matches played, Diallo has won 5, while Coric has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Diallo has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Coric has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Diallo Vs Coric

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Diallo has won 7 titles in his career, while Borna Coric has won 17 events. Diallo has won 52% (17161 of 33287) of points played in his entire career, and Coric has achieved 51% (41327 of 81697). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Diallo has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (65 of 117), whereas Borna Coric has won 53% (142 of 267). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Borna Coric has an 68.38% probability of winning this match.
Gabriel Diallo vs Borna Coric Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Borna Coric To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gabriel Diallo has a 31.62% chance of winning and Borna Coric has a 68.38% chance of taking the victory. We tip Coric to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.