Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Prediction – ATP Nordea Open – 20th July 2025 Best Bets

Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong Prediction Head To Head Summary

Darderi vs Jong Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Darderi has a 57.47% chance to win this match.

Darderi → 1.74. Jong → 2.13.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Darderi vs Jong Upcoming Match Details:

Darderi will play Jong on Clay court in the Final at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Darderi 0-0 Jong

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Darderi comes into this match with a ranking of 55 , while Jong is ranked 106.

Darderi vs Jong Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Jong has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Darderi has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Jong has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Darderi has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Jong has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Darderi has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Jong performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 87/43) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 6/12). Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 172/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 17% (W/L 1/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jesper De Jong has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luciano Darderi has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luciano Darderi played Francisco Cerundolo in the Semifinals at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-2 3-6 7-6(3) in 02:33:46 . Jesper De Jong played Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Semifinals at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-3 7-6(3) in 01:52:20.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luciano Darderi and Jesper De Jong

Of their last 10 matches played, Darderi has won 6, while Jong has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Darderi has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 172.65 , while Jong has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 263.21.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Darderi Vs Jong

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Darderi has won 7 titles in his career, while Jesper De Jong has won 7 events. Darderi has won 51% (24589 of 47896) of points played in his entire career, and Jong has achieved 52% (31668 of 61086). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Darderi has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (54 of 104), whereas Jesper De Jong has won 51% (80 of 157). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luciano Darderi has an 56.81% probability of winning this match.

Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luciano Darderi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luciano Darderi has a 56.81% chance of winning and Jesper De Jong has a 43.19% chance of taking the victory. We tip Darderi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luciano Darderi

• Moller vs Darderi H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Prizmic vs Darderi H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Basilashvili vs Darderi H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baena vs Darderi H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jesper De Jong

• Herbert vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Taberner vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Cerundolo vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jong vs Navone H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Jong vs Vera H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round