Luciano Darderi vs Federico Arnaboldi Prediction – ATP Genova Challenger – 2nd September 2025 Best Bets

Luciano Darderi and Federico Arnaboldi Prediction Head To Head Summary

Darderi vs Arnaboldi Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Darderi has a 86.21% chance to win this match.

Darderi → 1.16. Arnaboldi → 5.94.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Darderi vs Arnaboldi Upcoming Match Details:

Darderi will play Arnaboldi on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Genova Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 2nd September 2025.

Head-to-Head: Darderi 0-1 Arnaboldi

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Darderi comes into this match with a ranking of 34 , while Arnaboldi is ranked 369.

Darderi vs Arnaboldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaboldi has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Darderi has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaboldi has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Darderi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaboldi has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Darderi has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Arnaboldi performs best on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 26/19) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/1). Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 177/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 17% (W/L 1/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Federico Arnaboldi has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luciano Darderi has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luciano Darderi played Carlos Alcaraz in the Third round at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-2 6-4 6-0 in 01:44:00 . Federico Arnaboldi played Alvaro Guillen Meza in the First round at the Como Challenger and lost 6-4 6-2 in 01:46:21.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luciano Darderi and Federico Arnaboldi

Of their last 10 matches played, Darderi has won 7, while Arnaboldi has won 0. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Darderi has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 161.37 , while Arnaboldi has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 369.71.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Darderi Vs Arnaboldi

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Darderi has won 9 titles in his career, while Federico Arnaboldi has won 4 events. Darderi has won 51% (25379 of 49439) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaboldi has achieved 50% (21030 of 41950). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Darderi has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (57 of 108), whereas Federico Arnaboldi has won 53% (50 of 95). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luciano Darderi has an 89.12% probability of winning this match.

Luciano Darderi vs Federico Arnaboldi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luciano Darderi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luciano Darderi has a 89.12% chance of winning and Federico Arnaboldi has a 10.88% chance of taking the victory. We tip Darderi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Genova Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Federico Arnaboldi

• Arnaboldi vs Passaro H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arnaboldi vs Monteiro H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arnaboldi vs Valle H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arnaboldi vs Blancaneaux H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arnaboldi vs Popko H2H, could play in The Second round