Francisco Comesana vs Sebastian Baez Prediction &#8211; ATP Santiago &#8211; 27th February 2025 Best Bets

Francisco Comesana and Sebastian Baez Prediction Head To Head Summary

Comesana vs Baez Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baez has a 69.24% win this match.

Comesana → 2.78. Baez → 1.48.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Comesana vs Baez Upcoming Match Details:

Comesana will play Baez on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Movistar Chile Open event in Santiago Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Comesana 0-1 Baez

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Comesana comes into this match with a ranking of 67 , while Baez is ranked 31.

Comesana vs Baez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baez has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Comesana has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baez has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Comesana has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Baez has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Comesana has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 221/91) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17). Comesana performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 252/131), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 0% (W/L 0/1).
In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Baez has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Francisco Comesana has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Francisco Comesana played Felipe Meligeni Alves in the First round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 7-6(3) 7-6(4) in 02:02:53 . Sebastian Baez played Alexandre Muller in the Final at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-2 6-3 in 01:26:31.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Comesana Vs Baez Prediction Stats At Movistar Chile Open Day 4

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Francisco Comesana and Sebastian Baez

Of their last 10 matches played, Comesana has won 6, while Baez has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Comesana has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Comesana Vs Baez

Comesana Vs Baez Prediction H2H & All Movistar Chile Open Day 4 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Comesana has won 10 titles in his career, while Sebastian Baez has won 18 events. Comesana has won 52% (25399 of 49152) of points played in his entire career, and Baez has achieved 52% (29913 of 58020). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Comesana has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (62 of 115), whereas Sebastian Baez has won 49% (60 of 122). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 69.24% probability of winning this match.

Francisco Comesana vs Sebastian Baez Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Francisco Comesana has a 30.76% chance of winning and Sebastian Baez has a 69.24% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Francisco Comesana vs Sebastian Baez

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago, go here.