Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Leandro Riedi Prediction – ATP Cincinnati Open – 5th August 2025 Best Bets

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Leandro Riedi Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carreno-Busta vs Riedi Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carreno-Busta has a 71.43% chance to win this match.

Carreno-Busta → 1.4. Riedi → 2.97.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carreno-Busta vs Riedi Upcoming Match Details:

Carreno-Busta will play Riedi on Hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP Cincinnati Open event in Cincinnati Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carreno-Busta 0-0 Riedi

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carreno-Busta comes into this match with a ranking of 93 , while Riedi is ranked 487.

Carreno-Busta vs Riedi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Riedi has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Riedi has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Riedi has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Carreno-Busta has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Riedi performs best on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 54/27) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 51% (W/L 27/26). Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 350/183), and performs worse on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Leandro Riedi has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Pablo Carreno-Busta played Arthur Fils in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:28:15 . Leandro Riedi played Evan Bynoe in the First round at the M25 Edwardsville and lost 6-4 3-2 ret. in 01:22:09.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Pablo Carreno-Busta and Leandro Riedi

Of their last 10 matches played, Carreno-Busta has won 4, while Riedi has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Carreno-Busta has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 125.54 , while Riedi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 196.67.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carreno-Busta Vs Riedi

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carreno-Busta has won 32 titles in his career, while Leandro Riedi has won 7 events. Carreno-Busta has won 51% (56240 of 110166) of points played in his entire career, and Riedi has achieved 51% (16378 of 31883). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carreno-Busta has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (203 of 359), whereas Leandro Riedi has won 58% (47 of 81). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Pablo Carreno-Busta has an 66.6% probability of winning this match.

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Leandro Riedi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 66.6% chance of winning and Leandro Riedi has a 33.4% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carreno-Busta to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati, go here.