Maria Lourdes Carle vs Rebecca Sramkova Prediction – WTA Mutua Madrid Open – 23rd April 2025 Best Bets

Maria Lourdes Carle and Rebecca Sramkova Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carle vs Sramkova Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sramkova has a 59.88% chance to win this match.

Carle → 2.38. Sramkova → 1.67.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carle vs Sramkova Upcoming Match Details:

Carle will play Sramkova on Clay court in the First round at the WTA Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Women’s Singles 2025 on 23rd April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carle 0-0 Sramkova

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carle comes into this match with a ranking of 119 , while Sramkova is ranked 38.

Carle vs Sramkova Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sramkova has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Carle has won 34% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sramkova has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carle has won 39%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 54% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Sramkova has been saving 48% of his breakpoints, and Carle has saved 47% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Sramkova performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 238/130) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 55% (W/L 78/64). Carle performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 215/109), and performs worse on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Rebecca Sramkova has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Maria Lourdes Carle has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Maria Lourdes Carle played Bernarda Pera in the Q3 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 7-6(4) 6-2 in 01:35:33 . Rebecca Sramkova played Bernarda Pera in the Rubber 2 round at the Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group C and lost 7-6(2) 7-5 in 02:02:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Maria Lourdes Carle and Rebecca Sramkova

Of their last 10 matches played, Carle has won 6, while Sramkova has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Carle has won 38% of her own 2nd serve points and 51% of return points , while Sramkova has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carle Vs Sramkova

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carle has won 15 titles in her career, while Rebecca Sramkova has won 15 events. Carle has won 52% (30910 of 59531) of points played in her entire career, and Sramkova has achieved 51% (35436 of 69557). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carle has won 45% of tie breaks in his entire career (42 of 93), whereas Rebecca Sramkova has won 57% (93 of 163). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Rebecca Sramkova has an 68.61% probability of winning this match.

Maria Lourdes Carle vs Rebecca Sramkova Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Rebecca Sramkova To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Maria Lourdes Carle has a 31.39% chance of winning and Rebecca Sramkova has a 68.61% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sramkova to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Maria Lourdes Carle

• Noskova vs Carle H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Rebecca Sramkova

• Noskova vs Sramkova H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round