Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 16th February 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Vera Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Vera on Clay court in the Q3 round at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 16th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 3-2 Vera

The current Head to Head score is 3-2. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 87 , while Vera is ranked 138.

Carabelli vs Vera Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Vera has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Vera has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 36%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 56% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Vera has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Vera has won 58% of matches played (W/L 22/16) with Carabelli winning 74% (W/L 28/10).
• Surface prediction: Vera performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 273/154) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 0% (W/L 0/4). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 322/172), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 48% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Karue Sell in the Q1 round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in 02:26:24 . Tomas Barrios Vera played Cristian Garin in the Q1 round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-4 6-3 in 01:56:49.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 8, while Vera has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Vera has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Vera

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Tomas Barrios Vera has won 12 events. Carabelli has won 52% (37236 of 72284) of points played in his entire career, and Vera has achieved 51% (40715 of 79136). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (76 of 137), whereas Tomas Barrios Vera has won 61% (106 of 173). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 69.01% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 69.01% chance of winning and Tomas Barrios Vera has a 30.99% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.