Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori Prediction – ATP Cincinnati Open – 8th August 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Kei Nishikori Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Nishikori Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nishikori has a 57.47% chance to win this match.

Carabelli → 2.13. Nishikori → 1.74.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Nishikori Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Nishikori on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Cincinnati Open event in Cincinnati Men’s Singles 2025 on 8th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 0-0 Nishikori

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 47 , while Nishikori is ranked 67.

Carabelli vs Nishikori Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nishikori has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nishikori has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Nishikori has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Nishikori performs best on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 110/45) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 48/28). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 341/184), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Kei Nishikori has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Roberto Carballes Baena in the First round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and lost 6-4 4-1 ret. in 01:17:19 . Kei Nishikori played Karen Khachanov in the Second round at the Gonet Geneva Open – Geneva and lost 7-5 2-5 ret. in 01:24:26.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Kei Nishikori

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 5, while Nishikori has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 207.55 , while Nishikori has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 71.83.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Nishikori

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Kei Nishikori has won 30 events. Carabelli has won 51% (40230 of 78349) of points played in his entire career, and Nishikori has achieved 52% (61547 of 119085). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (82 of 153), whereas Kei Nishikori has won 59% (165 of 281). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Kei Nishikori has an 69.21% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Kei Nishikori To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 30.79% chance of winning and Kei Nishikori has a 69.21% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nishikori to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Carabelli vs Norrie H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Carabelli vs Agut H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Carabelli vs Altmaier H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Shelton vs Carabelli H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Kei Nishikori

• Nishikori vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nishikori vs Agut H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nishikori vs Altmaier H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Shelton vs Nishikori H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round