Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Moura Monteiro Prediction – ATP Santiago – 27th February 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Moura Monteiro Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Monteiro Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carabelli has a 52.66% win this match.

Carabelli → 1.9. Monteiro → 1.9.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Monteiro Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Monteiro on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Movistar Chile Open event in Santiago Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 1-2 Monteiro

The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 69 , while Monteiro is ranked 108.

Carabelli vs Monteiro Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Monteiro has won 56% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Monteiro has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 36%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 55% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Monteiro has been saving 68% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Monteiro has won 48% of matches played (W/L 14/15) with Carabelli winning 74% (W/L 32/11).
• Surface prediction: Monteiro performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 415/273) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 9/14). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 326/174), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Thiago Moura Monteiro has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 48% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Nicolas Jarry in the First round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 5-7 6-3 7-6(9) in 02:53:53 . Thiago Moura Monteiro played Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the First round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 6-3 3-6 7-6(2) in 02:51:49.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Moura Monteiro

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 7, while Monteiro has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Monteiro has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Monteiro

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Thiago Moura Monteiro has won 16 events. Carabelli has won 51% (37756 of 73324) of points played in his entire career, and Monteiro has achieved 51% (56433 of 111354). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (78 of 140), whereas Thiago Moura Monteiro has won 54% (217 of 400). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 52.66% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Moura Monteiro Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 52.66% chance of winning and Thiago Moura Monteiro has a 47.34% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Moura Monteiro

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago, go here.