Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Prediction – ATP Nordea Open – 19th July 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Jong Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carabelli has a 52.63% chance to win this match.

Carabelli → 1.9. Jong → 1.9.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Jong Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Jong on Clay court in the Semifinals at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2025 on 19th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 3-3 Jong

The current Head to Head score is 3-3. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 59 , while Jong is ranked 106.

Carabelli vs Jong Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Jong has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Jong has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Jong has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Jong performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 87/43) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 6/12). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 339/182), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jesper De Jong has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Filip Misolic in the Quarterfinals at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-3 7-5 in 01:36:43 . Jesper De Jong played Tallon Griekspoor in the Quarterfinals at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 in 02:40:36.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 4, while Jong has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 260.07 , while Jong has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 263.21.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Jong

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Jesper De Jong has won 7 events. Carabelli has won 51% (39899 of 77681) of points played in his entire career, and Jong has achieved 52% (31596 of 60952). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (82 of 150), whereas Jesper De Jong has won 51% (79 of 156). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 61.38% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 61.38% chance of winning and Jesper De Jong has a 38.62% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Passaro vs Carabelli H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Dodig vs Carabelli H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jesper De Jong

• Herbert vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Taberner vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Cerundolo vs Jong H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jong vs Navone H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Jong vs Vera H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round