Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria Prediction &#8211; ATP Santiago &#8211; 1st March 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Coria Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carabelli has a 61.04% win this match.

Carabelli → 1.71. Coria → 2.19.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Coria Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Coria on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Movistar Chile Open event in Santiago Men’s Singles 2025 on 1st March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 3-2 Coria

The current Head to Head score is 3-2. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 69 , while Coria is ranked 136.

Carabelli vs Coria Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Coria has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Coria has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Coria has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Coria performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 607/362) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/6). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 327/174), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
In play break point conversion prediction: Federico Coria has converted 42% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Thiago Moura Monteiro in the Second round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3 in 02:41:28 . Federico Coria played Alejandro Tabilo in the Second round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and won 7-6(11) 4-6 6-3 in 02:37:13.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Carabelli Vs Coria Prediction Stats At Movistar Chile Open Day 6

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 7, while Coria has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Coria has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 45% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Coria

Carabelli Vs Coria Prediction H2H & All Movistar Chile Open Day 6 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Federico Coria has won 16 events. Carabelli has won 51% (37858 of 73524) of points played in his entire career, and Coria has achieved 51% (52115 of 101796). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (79 of 141), whereas Federico Coria has won 54% (135 of 252). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 61.04% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 61.04% chance of winning and Federico Coria has a 38.96% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago, go here.