Nuno Borges vs Colton Smith Prediction – ATP – 14th March 2025 Best Bets

Nuno Borges and Colton Smith Prediction Head To Head Summary

Borges vs Smith Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Borges has a 55.37% win this match.

Borges → 1.52. Smith → 2.51.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Borges vs Smith Upcoming Match Details:

Borges will play Smith on Hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Borges 0-0 Smith

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Borges comes into this match with a ranking of 36 , while Smith is ranked 261.

Borges vs Smith Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Smith has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Borges has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Smith has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Borges has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Smith has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Borges has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 31/11). Borges performs best on Hard, winning 70% (W/L 152/65), and performs worse on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 6/10).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Colton Smith has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Nuno Borges has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Nuno Borges played Jacob Fearnley in the Second round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 6-2 7-5 in 01:18:19 . Colton Smith played Roman Safiullin in the Second round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 6-4 7-6(2) in 01:53:45.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Nuno Borges and Colton Smith

Of their last 10 matches played, Borges has won 5, while Smith has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Borges has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Borges Vs Smith

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Borges has won 18 titles in his career, while Colton Smith has won 2 events. Borges has won 52% (31263 of 59952) of points played in his entire career, and Smith has achieved 53% (4353 of 8210). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Borges has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (84 of 164), whereas Colton Smith has won 42% (10 of 24). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Nuno Borges has an 55.37% probability of winning this match.

Nuno Borges vs Colton Smith Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Nuno Borges To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Nuno Borges has a 55.37% chance of winning and Colton Smith has a 44.63% chance of taking the victory. We tip Borges to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Nuno Borges vs Colton Smith

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.