Alex Bolt vs Mackenzie Mcdonald Prediction – ATP Birmingham Challenger – 3rd June 2025 Best Bets

Alex Bolt and Mackenzie Mcdonald Prediction Head To Head Summary

Bolt vs Mcdonald Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Mcdonald has a 55.25% chance to win this match.

Bolt → 1.92. Mcdonald → 1.81.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Bolt vs Mcdonald Upcoming Match Details:

Bolt will play Mcdonald on Grass court in the First round at the ATP Birmingham Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Bolt 3-3 Mcdonald

The current Head to Head score is 3-3. Bolt comes into this match with a ranking of 197 , while Mcdonald is ranked 98.

Bolt vs Mcdonald Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Mcdonald has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Bolt has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Mcdonald has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Bolt has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 41% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Mcdonald has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Bolt has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Mcdonald performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 215/151) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 37% (W/L 23/39). Bolt performs best on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 86/35), and performs worse on Clay, winning 47% (W/L 55/61).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mackenzie Mcdonald has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex Bolt has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex Bolt played Giles Hussey in the Q3 round at the Birmingham Challenger and won 7-5 6-3 in 01:15:41 . Mackenzie Mcdonald played Novak Djokovic in the First round at the French Open – Paris and lost 6-3 6-3 6-3 in 01:58:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alex Bolt and Mackenzie Mcdonald

Of their last 10 matches played, Bolt has won 6, while Mcdonald has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Bolt has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 467.13 , while Mcdonald has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 380.68.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Bolt Vs Mcdonald

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Bolt has won 11 titles in his career, while Mackenzie Mcdonald has won 7 events. Bolt has won 50% (38621 of 76546) of points played in his entire career, and Mcdonald has achieved 51% (41068 of 80795). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Bolt has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (159 of 295), whereas Mackenzie Mcdonald has won 50% (95 of 189). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mackenzie Mcdonald has an 59.96% probability of winning this match.

Alex Bolt vs Mackenzie Mcdonald Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mackenzie Mcdonald To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex Bolt has a 40.04% chance of winning and Mackenzie Mcdonald has a 59.96% chance of taking the victory. We tip Mcdonald to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Birmingham Challenger, go here.