Matteo Berrettini and Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction Head To Head Summary
Berrettini vs Carreno-Busta Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Berrettini has a 72.46% chance to win this match.
Berrettini → 1.38. Carreno-Busta → 2.96.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Berrettini vs Carreno-Busta Upcoming Match Details:
Berrettini will play Carreno-Busta on I.hard court in the Rubber 1 round at the ATP Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITAevent inESP Men’s Singles 2025 on 23rd November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Berrettini 1-1 Carreno-Busta
The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Berrettini comes into this match with a ranking of 56 , while Carreno-Busta is ranked 89.
Berrettini vs Carreno-Busta Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carreno-Busta has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Berrettini has won 52% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carreno-Busta has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Berrettini has won 21%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 39% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Carreno-Busta has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Berrettini has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/186) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Berrettini performs best on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 45/13), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 43/33).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Berrettini has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Berrettini played Raphael Collignon in the Rubber 1 round at the Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ITA-BEL and won 6-3 6-4 . Pablo Carreno-Busta played Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rubber 1 round at the Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER and won 6-4 7-6(6) in .
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Berrettini Vs Carreno-Busta
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Berrettini has won 15 titles in his career, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 33 events. Berrettini has won 52% (38998 of 75246) of points played in his entire career, and Carreno-Busta has achieved 51% (58036 of 113615). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Berrettini has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (158 of 284), whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 57% (208 of 368). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Berrettini has an 68.77% probability of winning this match.
Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Berrettini To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Berrettini has a 68.77% chance of winning and Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 31.23% chance of taking the victory. We tip Berrettini to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP.
