Mattia Bellucci vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 3rd March 2025 Best Bets

Mattia Bellucci and Yosuke Watanuki Prediction Head To Head Summary

Bellucci vs Watanuki Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bellucci has a 52.88% win this match.

Bellucci → 1.69. Watanuki → 2.11.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Bellucci vs Watanuki Upcoming Match Details:

Bellucci will play Watanuki on Hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Bellucci 0-0 Watanuki

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Bellucci comes into this match with a ranking of 70 , while Watanuki is ranked 349.

Bellucci vs Watanuki Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Watanuki has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Bellucci has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Watanuki has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Bellucci has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Watanuki has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Bellucci has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Watanuki performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 56/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 41% (W/L 18/26). Bellucci performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 135/66), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 36/28).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Yosuke Watanuki has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mattia Bellucci has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mattia Bellucci played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 1-6 7-6(6) 6-2 in 02:19:58 . Yosuke Watanuki played Pavel Kotov in the Q1 round at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships – Dubai and lost 6-3 6-3 in 01:15:39.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mattia Bellucci and Yosuke Watanuki

Of their last 10 matches played, Bellucci has won 6, while Watanuki has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Bellucci has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Watanuki has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Bellucci Vs Watanuki

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Bellucci has won 9 titles in his career, while Yosuke Watanuki has won 10 events. Bellucci has won 51% (24753 of 48327) of points played in his entire career, and Watanuki has achieved 51% (27470 of 53437). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Bellucci has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (74 of 126), whereas Yosuke Watanuki has won 51% (76 of 149). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mattia Bellucci has an 52.88% probability of winning this match.

Mattia Bellucci vs Yosuke Watanuki Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mattia Bellucci To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mattia Bellucci has a 52.88% chance of winning and Yosuke Watanuki has a 47.12% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bellucci to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Mattia Bellucci vs Yosuke Watanuki

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.