Sebastian Baez and Reilly Opelka Prediction Head To Head Summary
Baez vs Opelka Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Opelka has a 66.23% chance to win this match.
Baez → 2.69. Opelka → 1.51.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Baez vs Opelka Upcoming Match Details:
Baez will play Opelka on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Swiss Indoors Basel event in Basel Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Baez 0-0 Opelka
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 43 , while Opelka is ranked 62.
Baez vs Opelka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Opelka has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Opelka has won 18% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 39% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Opelka has been saving 68% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Opelka performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 48/25) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 17/20). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 229/102), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 13% (W/L 3/20).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Reilly Opelka has converted 21% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Valentin Royer in the First round at the European Open – Brussels and lost 6-2 6-3 in 01:14:27 . Reilly Opelka played Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Q3 round at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:23:53.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Opelka
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Reilly Opelka has won 8 events. Baez has won 51% (32540 of 63387) of points played in his entire career, and Opelka has achieved 50% (30571 of 61232). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 131), whereas Reilly Opelka has won 54% (193 of 358). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Reilly Opelka has an 72.01% probability of winning this match.
Sebastian Baez vs Reilly Opelka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Reilly Opelka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 27.99% chance of winning and Reilly Opelka has a 72.01% chance of taking the victory. We tip Opelka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
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