Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction – ATP Nordea Open – 16th July 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Kjaer Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Kjaer has a 76.34% chance to win this match.

Baez → 1.31. Kjaer → 3.82.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baez vs Kjaer Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Kjaer on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2025 on 16th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 0-0 Kjaer

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 37 , while Kjaer is ranked 298.

Baez vs Kjaer Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Kjaer has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Kjaer has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Kjaer has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Kjaer performs best on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 13/6) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 50% (W/L 6/6). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 228/100), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 3/19).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Jack Draper in the First round at the Wimbledon – London and lost 6-2 6-2 2-1 ret. in 01:14:00 . Nicolai Budkov Kjaer played Thiago Moura Monteiro in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 5-7 6-3 7-6(2) in 02:41:09.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 1, while Kjaer has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 124.97 , while Kjaer has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 45% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 491.46.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Kjaer

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won 4 events. Baez has won 51% (31721 of 61674) of points played in his entire career, and Kjaer has achieved 51% (5133 of 9983). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 131), whereas Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won 64% (14 of 22). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has an 50.61% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 49.39% chance of winning and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has a 50.61% chance of taking the victory. We tip Kjaer to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Dzumhur vs Baez H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Baez H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Baez H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Cerundolo vs Baez H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Baez vs Darderi H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

• Dzumhur vs Kjaer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Kjaer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Kjaer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Cerundolo vs Kjaer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Kjaer vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Kjaer vs Ymer H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals