Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction – ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – 15th April 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Damir Dzumhur Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Dzumhur Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Dzumhur has a 70.92% chance to win this match.

Baez → 1.41. Dzumhur → 3.13.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baez vs Dzumhur Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Dzumhur on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell event in Barcelona Men’s Singles 2025 on 15th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 2-0 Dzumhur

The current Head to Head score is 2-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 35 , while Dzumhur is ranked 65.

Baez vs Dzumhur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Dzumhur has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Dzumhur has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Dzumhur has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Dzumhur performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 313/182) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 16/17). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 227/94), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 3/19).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Damir Dzumhur has converted 41% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 36% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Tomas Machac in the First round at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and lost 3-6 6-3 6-2 in 01:54:20 . Damir Dzumhur played Cameron Norrie in the Q3 round at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and lost 7-6(5) 7-6(6) in 02:09:22.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Damir Dzumhur

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 5, while Dzumhur has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Dzumhur has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Dzumhur

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Damir Dzumhur has won 35 events. Baez has won 52% (31028 of 60228) of points played in his entire career, and Dzumhur has achieved 51% (59346 of 117063). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (65 of 129), whereas Damir Dzumhur has won 50% (140 of 278). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Damir Dzumhur has an 53.34% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Damir Dzumhur To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 46.66% chance of winning and Damir Dzumhur has a 53.34% chance of taking the victory. We tip Dzumhur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona, go here.