Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Paul has won 54% of points on his second serve, while Baena has won 53% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Paul has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baena has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Paul has been saving 68% of his breakpoints, and Baena has saved 63% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Paul has won 67% of matches played (W/L 18/9) with Baena winning 57% (W/L 20/15).
Surface prediction: Paul performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/16) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 61/37). Baena performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 504/301), and performs worse on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 7/16).
In play break point conversion prediction: Tommy Paul has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Roberto Carballes Baena played James Duckworth in the Second round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 6-4 6-2 7-5 in 02:52:00 . Tommy Paul played Kei Nishikori in the Second round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 6-7(3) 6-0 6-3 6-1 in 02:41:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Roberto Carballes Baena and Tommy Paul
Of their last 10 matches played, Baena has won 5, while Paul has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Baena has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points , while Paul has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baena Vs Paul
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Baena has won 24 titles in his career, while Tommy Paul has won 16 events. Baena has won 51% (56304 of 110673) of points played in his entire career, and Paul has achieved 51% (45513 of 88548). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baena has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (137 of 282), whereas Tommy Paul has won 53% (138 of 258). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Tommy Paul has an 71.16% probability of winning this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Tommy Paul To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Roberto Carballes Baena has a 28.84% chance of winning and Tommy Paul has a 71.16% chance of taking the victory. We tip Paul to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Baena vs Paul
Value Bets For Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul here.
To see the full prediction for Baena vs Paul at Australian Open – Melbourne, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Australian Open Day 5 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Australian Open – Melbourne, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
