Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP Cincinnati Open – 7th August 2025 Best Bets

Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baena vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baena has a 52.63% chance to win this match.

Baena → 1.9. Gaston → 1.9.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baena vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Baena will play Gaston on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Cincinnati Open event in Cincinnati Men’s Singles 2025 on 7th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baena 1-2 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Baena comes into this match with a ranking of 89 , while Gaston is ranked 126.

Baena vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Baena has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baena has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Baena has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 137/93) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 41% (W/L 7/10). Baena performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 510/309), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 7/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Roberto Carballes Baena played Taylor Fritz in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and lost 7-5 7-6(1) in 02:31:29 . Hugo Gaston played Andrey Rublev in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and lost 6-2 6-3 in 01:26:51.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Baena has won 4, while Gaston has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Baena has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 109.64 , while Gaston has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 204.94.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baena Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baena has won 24 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Baena has won 51% (57882 of 113991) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (32237 of 64243). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baena has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (142 of 292), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 58% (88 of 152). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Roberto Carballes Baena has an 63.72% probability of winning this match.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Roberto Carballes Baena has a 63.72% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 36.28% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baena to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

• Baena vs Humbert H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Baena vs Wong H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Baena vs Perricard H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Tiafoe vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Hugo Gaston

• Gaston vs Humbert H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Gaston vs Wong H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Gaston vs Perricard H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Tiafoe vs Gaston H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round