Roberto Carballes Baena vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction – ATP National Bank Open – 29th July 2025 Best Bets

Roberto Carballes Baena and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baena vs Carabelli Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baena has a 58.82% chance to win this match.

Baena → 2.21. Carabelli → 1.7.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baena vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:

Baena will play Carabelli on Hard court in the First round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 29th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baena 1-0 Carabelli

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Baena comes into this match with a ranking of 89 , while Carabelli is ranked 47.

Baena vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Baena has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baena has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Baena has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 341/184) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/5). Baena performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 510/309), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 7/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 36% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Roberto Carballes Baena played Nikoloz Basilashvili in the First round at the Plava Laguna Croatia Open – Umag and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:31:29 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Luciano Darderi in the Semifinals at the Plava Laguna Croatia Open – Umag and lost 7-6(6) 6-3 in 01:44:32.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Roberto Carballes Baena and Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Of their last 10 matches played, Baena has won 3, while Carabelli has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Baena has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 109.64 , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 207.55.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baena Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baena has won 24 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Baena has won 51% (57751 of 113729) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 51% (40189 of 78253). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baena has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (142 of 291), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 54% (82 of 153). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Roberto Carballes Baena has an 62.41% probability of winning this match.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Roberto Carballes Baena has a 62.41% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 37.59% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baena to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

• Gigante vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Coric vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Baena vs Fritz H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Gigante vs Carabelli H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Coric vs Carabelli H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Diallo vs Carabelli H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Carabelli vs Fritz H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round