Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction – ATP Plava Laguna Croatia Open – 21st July 2025 Best Bets

Roberto Carballes Baena and Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baena vs Basilashvili Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baena has a 53.19% chance to win this match.

Baena → 1.93. Basilashvili → 1.88.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baena vs Basilashvili Upcoming Match Details:

Baena will play Basilashvili on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Plava Laguna Croatia Open event in Umag Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baena 0-3 Basilashvili

The current Head to Head score is 0-3. Baena comes into this match with a ranking of 85 , while Basilashvili is ranked 114.

Baena vs Basilashvili Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Basilashvili has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Baena has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Basilashvili has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baena has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 51% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Basilashvili has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Baena has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Basilashvili performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 184/146) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 77/82). Baena performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 510/308), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 7/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Roberto Carballes Baena played Francisco Comesana in the Second round at the EFG Swiss Open – Gstaad and lost 6-1 6-4 in 01:13:41 . Nikoloz Basilashvili played Arthur Cazaux in the First round at the EFG Swiss Open – Gstaad and lost 4-6 7-5 7-6(5) in 02:49:44.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Roberto Carballes Baena and Nikoloz Basilashvili

Of their last 10 matches played, Baena has won 4, while Basilashvili has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Baena has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 158.32 , while Basilashvili has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 355.83.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baena Vs Basilashvili

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baena has won 24 titles in his career, while Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 24 events. Baena has won 51% (57690 of 113601) of points played in his entire career, and Basilashvili has achieved 50% (50126 of 101059). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baena has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (142 of 291), whereas Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 59% (177 of 302). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Roberto Carballes Baena has an 55.78% probability of winning this match.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Roberto Carballes Baena has a 55.78% chance of winning and Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 44.22% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baena to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Plava Laguna Croatia Open – Umag, go here.