Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Prediction – ATP Monte – 6th April 2025 Best Bets

Matteo Arnaldi and Richard Gasquet Prediction Head To Head Summary

Arnaldi vs Gasquet Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Arnaldi has a 32.15% win this match.

Arnaldi → 1.41. Gasquet → 3.11.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Arnaldi vs Gasquet Upcoming Match Details:

Arnaldi will play Gasquet on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 6th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Arnaldi 0-0 Gasquet

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Arnaldi comes into this match with a ranking of 39 , while Gasquet is ranked 148.

Arnaldi vs Gasquet Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gasquet has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gasquet has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arnaldi has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gasquet has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Arnaldi has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gasquet performs best on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 84/45) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 60% (W/L 256/168). Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 125/64), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 41% (W/L 15/22).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Richard Gasquet has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Arnaldi played Tomas Machac in the Second round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 6-2 1-6 6-3 in 01:44:49 . Richard Gasquet played Flavio Cobolli in the Second round at the Tiriac Open – Bucharest and lost 6-4 4-6 6-1 in 01:55:25.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Arnaldi and Richard Gasquet

Of their last 10 matches played, Arnaldi has won 5, while Gasquet has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Arnaldi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Gasquet has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arnaldi Vs Gasquet

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Arnaldi has won 6 titles in his career, while Richard Gasquet has won 28 events. Arnaldi has won 51% (24871 of 49076) of points played in his entire career, and Gasquet has achieved 51% (81289 of 158037). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arnaldi has won 60% of tie breaks in his entire career (65 of 109), whereas Richard Gasquet has won 56% (280 of 503). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Arnaldi has an 58.99% probability of winning this match.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Arnaldi has a 58.99% chance of winning and Richard Gasquet has a 41.01% chance of taking the victory. We tip Arnaldi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.