Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open – 26th June 2025 Best Bets

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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open  – 26th June 2025 Best Bets

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek Prediction Head To Head Summary

Alexandrova Vs Swiatek H2H Summary Stats 26th June 2025

Alexandrova vs Swiatek Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Swiatek has a 62.89% chance to win this match.

Alexandrova → 2.44. Swiatek → 1.59.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Alexandrova vs Swiatek Upcoming Match Details:

Alexandrova will play Swiatek on Grass court in the Quarterfinals at the WTA Bad Homburg Open event in Bad Homburg Women’s Singles 2025 on 26th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Alexandrova 2-3 Swiatek

The current Head to Head score is 2-3. Alexandrova comes into this match with a ranking of 18 , while Swiatek is ranked 8.

Alexandrova vs Swiatek Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Swiatek has won 39% of points on his second serve, while Alexandrova has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Swiatek has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alexandrova has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 51% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Swiatek has been saving 45% of his breakpoints, and Alexandrova has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Swiatek performs best on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 148/22) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 19/8). Alexandrova performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 118/52), and performs worse on Hard, winning 55% (W/L 116/94).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Iga Swiatek has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Ekaterina Alexandrova has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Ekaterina Alexandrova played Maria Sakkari in the Second round at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3 in 02:14:17 . Iga Swiatek played Victoria Azarenka in the Second round at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:36:07.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Alexandrova Vs Swiatek Prediction Stats At Bad Homburg Open  Day 4

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek

Of their last 10 matches played, Alexandrova has won 8, while Swiatek has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Alexandrova has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 213.73 , while Swiatek has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 222.41.

Alma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alexandrova Vs Swiatek

Alexandrova Vs Swiatek Prediction H2H & All Bad Homburg Open  Day 4 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Alexandrova has won 15 titles in her career, while Iga Swiatek has won 30 events. Alexandrova has won 51% (38739 of 75452) of points played in her entire career, and Swiatek has achieved 55% (31439 of 57140). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alexandrova has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (111 of 212), whereas Iga Swiatek has won 52% (39 of 75). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Iga Swiatek has an 57.58% probability of winning this match.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Iga Swiatek To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 42.42% chance of winning and Iga Swiatek has a 57.58% chance of taking the victory. We tip Swiatek to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Ekaterina Alexandrova

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Iga Swiatek