Alcaraz vs Rublev Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Alcaraz to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Rublev has won 51% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 57% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Rublev has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Rublev has been saving 67% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Rublev has won 57% of matches played (W/L 21/16) with Alcaraz winning 83% (W/L 34/7).
Surface prediction: Rublev performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 191/97) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 25/15). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 18/12).
In play break point conversion prediction: Andrey Rublev has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 41% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Casper Ruud in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and lost 6-1 7-5 in 01:25:31 . Andrey Rublev played Alexander Zverev in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:12:21.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 7, while Rublev has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on I.hard . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Rublev has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Rublev
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 23 titles in his career, while Andrey Rublev has won 21 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (29421 of 55420) of points played in his entire career, and Rublev has achieved 52% (55314 of 107334). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 64% of tie breaks in his entire career (95 of 149), whereas Andrey Rublev has won 51% (165 of 324). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 69.33% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 69.33% chance of winning and Andrey Rublev has a 30.67% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Alcaraz vs Rublev
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev here.
To see the full prediction for Alcaraz vs Rublev at Nitto ATP Finals – Turin, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Nitto ATP Finals Day 3 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
