Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti Prediction Head To Head Summary
Alcaraz vs Musetti Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 82.64% chance to win this match.
Alcaraz → 1.21. Musetti → 5.8.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Alcaraz vs Musetti Upcoming Match Details:
Alcaraz will play Musetti on I.hard court in the Robin round at the ATP Nitto ATP Finals event in Turin Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Alcaraz 7-1 Musetti
The current Head to Head score is 7-1. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Musetti is ranked 9.
Alcaraz vs Musetti Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Musetti has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Musetti has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Musetti has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 141/71) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 41/44). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 33/15).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Musetti has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Taylor Fritz in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 6-7(2) 7-5 6-3 in 02:48:04 . Lorenzo Musetti played Alex De Minaur in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 7-5 3-6 7-5 in 02:47:23.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Musetti
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 32 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (36807 of 68949) of points played in his entire career, and Musetti has achieved 51% (34462 of 67484). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (118 of 182), whereas Lorenzo Musetti has won 56% (99 of 177). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 53.38% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 53.38% chance of winning and Lorenzo Musetti has a 46.62% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin.
