Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz Prediction Head To Head Summary
Alcaraz vs Fritz Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 81.97% chance to win this match.
Alcaraz → 1.22. Fritz → 5.52.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Alcaraz vs Fritz Upcoming Match Details:
Alcaraz will play Fritz on I.hard court in the Robin round at the ATP Nitto ATP Finals event in Turin Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Alcaraz 4-1 Fritz
The current Head to Head score is 4-1. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Fritz is ranked 6.
Alcaraz vs Fritz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fritz has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fritz has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Fritz has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Fritz performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 266/133) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 72/52). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 32/15).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Taylor Fritz has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Alex De Minaur in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 7-6(5) 6-2 in 01:40:07 . Taylor Fritz played Lorenzo Musetti in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:42:09.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Fritz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 32 titles in his career, while Taylor Fritz has won 18 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (36680 of 68707) of points played in his entire career, and Fritz has achieved 52% (56005 of 108443). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (118 of 181), whereas Taylor Fritz has won 56% (207 of 371). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 60.48% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 60.48% chance of winning and Taylor Fritz has a 39.52% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin.
