Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction Head To Head Summary
Alcaraz vs Aliassime Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 77.52% chance to win this match.
Alcaraz → 1.29. Aliassime → 4.29.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Alcaraz vs Aliassime Upcoming Match Details:
Alcaraz will play Aliassime on I.hard court in the Semifinals at the ATP Nitto ATP Finals event in Turin Men’s Singles 2025 on 15th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Alcaraz 4-3 Aliassime
The current Head to Head score is 4-3. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Aliassime is ranked 8.
Alcaraz vs Aliassime Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Aliassime has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Aliassime has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Aliassime has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Aliassime performs best on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 103/44) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 131/93). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 34/15).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Felix Auger Aliassime has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Lorenzo Musetti in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 6-4 6-1 in 01:23:23 . Felix Auger Aliassime played Alexander Zverev in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and won 6-4 7-6(4) in 02:07:13.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Aliassime
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 32 titles in his career, while Felix Auger Aliassime has won 14 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (36871 of 69057) of points played in his entire career, and Aliassime has achieved 52% (47230 of 91603). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (118 of 182), whereas Felix Auger Aliassime has won 59% (175 of 295). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 53.1% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 53.1% chance of winning and Felix Auger Aliassime has a 46.9% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin.
