Get all the data around bookmaking market for the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca fixture for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris 2025 on the October 27, 2025, in this preview below. Find out the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca picks, betting tips & odds for this match in the our preview below.
Pick Based On Odds: Joao Fonseca to secure the win
- Implied from the bookies odds, Joao Fonseca is the favorite to come out on top in this game with a 55.30% probability to win. An accurate forecast? Yes, as Bookies are experts:
Denis Shapovalov → 2.14
Joao Fonseca → 1.73Prediction Chance Of Win Denis Shapovalov 44.70 % Joao Fonseca 55.30 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
- According to the odds for total games, the bookmakers suggest over 21 with odds of 1.63 and an implied probability of 61.35%. This suggests the match is expected to be tight, possibly going the distance.
over 21 → 1.63
Prediction Over/Under over_21 61.35 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Joao Fonseca to triumph
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 0 |
| Joao Fonseca | 1 |
Head To Head: Denis Shapovalov (0 – 1) Joao Fonseca.
Joao Fonseca to win. What’s the reasoning? In the last 1 H2H encounters between them, Joao Fonseca is up 0 – 1. Our H2H data goes back to the game they had in 2025. This implies that Joao Fonseca is likely to get the victory in this upcoming game. Their most recent match took place on the Fri, 24 Oct 25, Where Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov ended in 3-6-4-ret. – 6-3-1- draw.
Denis Shapovalov has never got the win against Joao Fonseca showing they have a low probability.
Form-Based Prediction: Joao Fonseca to prevail
Examining recent form before this fixture, Denis Shapovalov faced a loss against Joao Fonseca with a result of 6-3-1-/3-6-4-ret.. Joao Fonseca secured victory up against Jaume Antoni Munar Clar with a result of 7-7/6(4)-5. Denis Shapovalov have triumphed in 5 of their last 10 games versus all opponents, whereas Joao Fonseca prevailed in 6 of their recent 10 games against all teams, suggesting perhaps Joao Fonseca is in better shape heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Joao Fonseca
- Denis Shapovalov has won 5 of the last 10 matches played, while Joao Fonseca has secured 7 victories over the same range.
- Denis Shapovalov has been winning 43% of their own second serve points, and 46% of their opponents, while Joao Fonseca has won 49% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Denis Shapovalov comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Joao Fonseca in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- Joao Fonseca comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Joao Fonseca in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Denis Shapovalov has been holding serve 0% of the time (0/0), while Joao Fonseca has held their serve 0% of the time (0/0.
Career Performance Prediction: Joao Fonseca
- Denis Shapovalov has a career high ranking of 23, while Joao Fonseca has a career high rank of 46.
- Denis Shapovalov has claimed 10 Career titles and career earnings of $98,38,100, versus 5 trophies for Joao Fonseca and $12,29,990 prize money.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 58% deciding set win % (26/45), compared to 63% for Joao Fonseca (5/8)
- The 1st serve of Denis Shapovalov has resulted in him winning 60% of points, and Joao Fonseca has won 68% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Denis Shapovalov and 59% for Joao Fonseca.
- After losing the first set, Denis Shapovalov manages to turn the match around and win it 24% of the time, and Joao Fonseca has a 40% record in eventually winning the match.
