Premier League Preview And Prediction: Aston Villa vs Burnley Betting Tips & Picks October 5, 2025

Forecast Based On Odds: Aston Villa to come out on top

• Derived from the sportsbook odds, Aston Villa are favored to come out on top in this match with a 60.64% probability to win. An accurate tip? We think so, because Oddsmakers have their metrics figured out:
  Aston Villa → 1.65
  Burnley → 5.85

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Aston Villa	60.64 %
  Burnley	17.09 %
  Draw	25 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Calculated probability derived from the odds, further indicates there is a 51.47% probability that both Aston Villa and Burnley to score goals (BTTS):
  Both Teams To Score Yes → 1.94

  Prediction	Chance Of BTTS
  Yes	51.47 %
  No	52.38 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for total goals implies there is a 77.04% prediction of this game having more than 1.5 total goals:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.30

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
  Over	77.04 %
  Under	27.03 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for total goals indicates a likelihood of a 51.23% expectation of this game having more than 2.5 total goals:
  Match Over 2.5 Goals → 1.95

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
  Over	51.23 %
  Under	51.23 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for Draw No Bet suggests a likelihood of 80.65% expectation that Aston Villa will win in this match. Odds for:
  Aston Villa → 1.24

  Prediction	Chance Of Draw No Bet
  Aston Villa	80.65 %
  Burnley	23.04 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for goal count implies a likelihood of 34.97% expectation that this game will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 2.86

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
  Over	34.97 %
  Under	69.93 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

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Prediction Based On H2H: Aston Villa to win the match

H2H: Aston Villa (4 – 2) Burnley.
Aston Villa to win. Why? For the most recent 10 head-to-head encounters between these teams, Aston Villa are winning 4 – 2. Our H2H analysis starts from the encounter they had in 2009. This suggests that Aston Villa should get the victory in this upcoming face-off. The last game took place on the Sat, 30 Dec 23, where Aston Villa got a 3 – 2 victory.

Can Burnley reverse the trend and win? The last game Burnley got the better of Aston Villa was on Wed, 27 Jan 21, proving that they do have a chance.

Prediction Based On Recent Form: Aston Villa to get the victory

Analyzing current performance before this match, Aston Villa triumphed versus Feyenoord with a result of 2-0. Burnley faced a loss up against Manchester City with a score of 1-5. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 10 games in all competitions, while Burnley won 2 of their recent 10 games in all competitions, indicating perhaps Aston Villa are in better shape approaching this match.

Comparing team trends reveals crucial information into momentum so we can make the best wagers

Versus All Opponents Streaks:

• Aston Villa: 3 Wins.
• Aston Villa: 4 No losses.
• Burnley: No wins in the last 5 matches.
• Burnley: Without clean sheet in the last 6 matches.
• Aston Villa: Less than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Burnley: Both teams scoring in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Aston Villa: First to score in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Burnley: First to concede in 5 of the last 5 matches.
• Burnley: Less than 4.5 cards in 9 of the last 10 matches.
• Burnley: Less than 10.5 corners in 5 of the last 7 matches.

Exact H2H Streaks:

• Aston Villa: 4 No losses.
• Both teams: Without clean sheet in the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: Both teams scoring in 5 of the last 5 matches.
• Aston Villa: First to score in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Aston Villa: First half winner in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 6 of the last 7 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 10.5 corners in 4 of the last 5 matches.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Best Sportsbook Odds For The Game

Full Time Result

1W

1.649

2W

5.85

X

4

Both Teams To Score

Yes

1.943

No

1.909

Over Under Full Time

> 1.5

1.298

< 1.5

3.7

> 2.5

1.952

< 2.5

1.952

Asian Handicap && -1.5

1W -1.5

2.8

2W -1.5

1.471

Draw No Bet

1W

1.24

2W

4.34

Over Under First Half

> 1.5

2.86

< 1.5

1.43

Over Under Second Half

> 1.5

2.12

< 1.5

1.66

Aston Villa vs Burnley Tips

Draw No Bet → Aston Villa would seem to be a decent gamble → 1.24