Find out all the details for the bookmaking market for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin 2025 on the November 15, 2025, in our analysis here. Learn the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur predictions, best bets and odds for this contest in the section beneath.
Odds-Based Prediction: Jannik Sinner to get the victory
- Calculated from the bookies odds, Jannik Sinner is the favorite to come out on top in this match with a 85.19% probability to win. An accurate prediction? We think so, as Bookmakers are highly accurate:
Jannik Sinner → 1.18
Alex De Minaur → 6.79Prediction Chance Of Win Alex De Minaur 14.81 % Jannik Sinner 85.19 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Jannik Sinner to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 12 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0 |
Head-2-Head: Jannik Sinner (12 – 0) Alex De Minaur.
Jannik Sinner to win. The reason? Over the last 12 direct fixtures between these players, Jannik Sinner is ahead 12 – 0. Our H2H data goes back to the game they had in 2022. This indicates that Jannik Sinner is likely to get the victory in this scheduled fixture. The last fixture was on the Sat, 25 Oct 25, when Jannik Sinner secured a 6-6 – 3-4 win.
Alex De Minaur has never got the victory Vs Jannik Sinner showing they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Jannik Sinner to prevail
Analyzing team momentum heading into this match, Jannik Sinner secured victory against Ben Shelton with a result of 6-7/3-6(3). Alex De Minaur got the win versus Taylor Fritz with a result of 7-6/6(3)-3. Jannik Sinner have won 10 of their last 10 fixtures vs all teams, whereas Alex De Minaur got the victory in 6 of their recent 10 fixtures in all competitions, indicating maybe Jannik Sinner is in the better form approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Jannik Sinner
- Jannik Sinner has won 10 of the last 10 matches played, while Alex De Minaur has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Jannik Sinner has been winning 41% of their own second serve points, and 40% of their opponents, while Alex De Minaur has won 47% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Jannik Sinner comes into this match having won a 1 hour 34 min battle vs Ben Shelton in which he managed to win 38% of return points (72/189), hitting 26 aces himself during the match.
- Alex De Minaur comes into this match having won a 1 hour 34 min battle vs Taylor Fritz in which he managed to win 37% of return points (85/231), hitting 19 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Jannik Sinner has been holding serve 100% of the time (30/30), while Alex De Minaur has held their serve 79% of the time (30/38.
Career Performance Prediction: Jannik Sinner
- Jannik Sinner has a career high ranking of 2, while Alex De Minaur has a career high rank of 7.
- Jannik Sinner has claimed 29 Career titles and career earnings of $3,63,17,595, versus 12 trophies for Alex De Minaur and $1,38,14,330 prize money.
- Jannik Sinner has a 68% deciding set win % (23/34), compared to 56% for Alex De Minaur (24/43)
- The 1st serve of Jannik Sinner has resulted in him winning 61% of points, and Alex De Minaur has won 60% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 56% for Jannik Sinner and 52% for Alex De Minaur.
- After losing the first set, Jannik Sinner manages to turn the match around and win it 31% of the time, and Alex De Minaur has a 23% record in eventually winning the match.
