Access all the details regarding the bookmaking market for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz fixture for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin 2025 on the November 11, 2025, here. Get all the Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz predictions, betting tips & odds for this match in the our analysis beneath.
Forecast Based On Odds: Carlos Alcaraz to get the victory
- Derived via the sportsbook odds, Carlos Alcaraz is favored to come out on top in this match with a 81.90% probability to win. An accurate tip? We think so, because Bookies are highly accurate:
Carlos Alcaraz → 1.22
Taylor Fritz → 5.52Prediction Chance Of Win Taylor Fritz 18.10 % Carlos Alcaraz 81.90 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Carlos Alcaraz to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 4 |
| Taylor Fritz | 1 |
Head To Head: Carlos Alcaraz (4 – 1) Taylor Fritz.
Carlos Alcaraz to win. Why? Analyzing the last 5 H2H encounters between these players, Carlos Alcaraz has the edge 4 – 1. Our H2H data starts from the battle they had in 2023. This indicates that Carlos Alcaraz is likely to get the victory in this scheduled match. Their most recent match between them happened on the Tue, 30 Sept 25, where Carlos Alcaraz got a 6-6 – 4-4 victory.
Taylor Fritz has never won Vs Carlos Alcaraz showing they have little chance.
Current Form Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to get the victory
Analyzing recent form before this fixture, Carlos Alcaraz won up against Alex De Minaur with a score of 7-6/6(5)-2. Taylor Fritz secured victory facing Lorenzo Musetti with a score of 6-6/3-4. Carlos Alcaraz have won 8 of their recent 10 fixtures versus all opponents, whereas Taylor Fritz prevailed in 5 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, indicating maybe Carlos Alcaraz is in better shape heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz has won 8 of the last 10 matches played, while Taylor Fritz has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Carlos Alcaraz has been winning 46% of their own second serve points, and 42% of their opponents, while Taylor Fritz has won 46% of their second serve points and 42% of their opponents.
- Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match having won a 1 hour 40 min battle vs Alex De Minaur in which he managed to win 47% of return points (27/58), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- Taylor Fritz comes into this match having won a 1 hour 42 min battle vs Lorenzo Musetti in which he managed to win 43% of return points (37/86), hitting 13 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Carlos Alcaraz has been holding serve 80% of the time (8/10), while Taylor Fritz has held their serve 100% of the time (9/9.
Career Performance Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz has a career high ranking of 1, while Taylor Fritz has a career high rank of 6.
- Carlos Alcaraz has claimed 32 Career titles and career earnings of $3,99,13,030, versus 17 trophies for Taylor Fritz and $1,62,51,505 prize money.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 58% deciding set win % (7/12), compared to 55% for Taylor Fritz (23/42)
- The 1st serve of Carlos Alcaraz has resulted in him winning 66% of points, and Taylor Fritz has won 60% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 55% for Carlos Alcaraz and 51% for Taylor Fritz.
- After losing the first set, Carlos Alcaraz manages to turn the match around and win it 14% of the time, and Taylor Fritz has a 21% record in eventually winning the match.
