NHL Preview And Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Betting Tips & Picks October 8, 2025

Odds-Based Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs to get the victory

• Derived via the sportsbook odds, Toronto Maple Leafs are the pick to get the victory in this game with a 62.42% chance to win. An accurate tip? Yes, due to Oddsmakers are skilfull analysts:
  Toronto Maple Leafs → 1.60
  Montréal Canadiens → 2.50

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Toronto Maple Leafs	62.42 %
  Montréal Canadiens	40 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for points scored suggests there is a 56.82% expectation of this game having more than 5.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 5.5 Points → 1.76

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (5.5)
  Over	56.82 %
  Under	46.51 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for player goal scoring indicates a likelihood of a 17.21% prediction of the player scoring more than 0.5 goals, including extra time:
  Over 0.5 Player Goals (incl. OT) → 5.81

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U POG OT (0.5)
  Over	17.21 %
  Under	58 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for player performance suggests a likelihood of a 51.71% prediction of this player making more than 1.5 shots on goal, including overtime:
  Over 1.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 1.93

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (1.5)
  Over	51.71 %
  Under	40.16 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for shots on goal suggests there is a 39.68% prediction of this player making higher than 2.5 shots on goal, including extra time:
  Over 2.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 2.52

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (2.5)
  Over	39.68 %
  Under	49.26 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for player performance suggests there is a 57.84% expectation of this player making more than 3.5 shots on goal, including extra time:
  Over 3.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 1.73

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (3.5)
  Over	57.84 %
  Under	49.5 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Derived from the sportsbook odds, Toronto Maple Leafs are favored to get the victory in regular time in this fixture with a 53.48% chance of winning. A solid prediction? Yes, because Oddsmakers are experts:
  Toronto Maple Leafs Regular Time → 1.87
  Montréal Canadiens Regular Time → 3.40
  Draw Regular Time → 4.50

  Prediction	Chance Of RT
  Toronto Maple Leafs	53.48 %
  Montréal Canadiens	29.41 %
  Draw	22.22 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for total points implies a likelihood of a 100% expectation of this game having over 1.5 total points:
  Match Over 1.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (1.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for total points indicates there is a 95.24% prediction of this match having higher than 2.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 2.5 Points → 1.05

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (2.5)
  Over	95.24 %
  Under	9.52 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for total points indicates there is a 86.96% expectation of this game having higher than 3.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 3.5 Points → 1.15

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (3.5)
  Over	86.96 %
  Under	18.52 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for total goals implies a likelihood of a 56.82% prediction of this game having more than 5.5 total points including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 5.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 1.76

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (5.5)
  Over	56.82 %
  Under	47.62 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for total goals suggests a likelihood of a 44.84% expectation of this match having more than 6.5 total points including overtime and penalties:
  Match Over 6.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 2.23

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (6.5)
  Over	44.84 %
  Under	59.88 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for total goals suggests a likelihood of a 27.78% prediction of this game having higher than 7.5 total goals including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 7.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 3.60

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (7.5)
  Over	27.78 %
  Under	78.13 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for total points implies there is a 19.61% prediction of this match having more than 8.5 total goals including overtime and penalties:
  Match Over 8.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 5.10

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (8.5)
  Over	19.61 %
  Under	86.21 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

For deeper insights so you can make money, read our expert Ice Hockey betting tips at Matchstat.com. Uncover today’s best Ice Hockey value bets here.

H2H-Based Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs to secure victory

Head-2-Head: Toronto Maple Leafs (8 – 2) Montréal Canadiens.
Toronto Maple Leafs to win. The reason? Analyzing the last 10 direct encounters between them, Toronto Maple Leafs are up 8 – 2. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the fixture between them in 2008. This implies that Toronto Maple Leafs should win in this scheduled game. The last match between them happened on the Sat, 27 Sept 25, where Montréal Canadiens got a 4 – 2 victory.

Can Montréal Canadiens break the pattern and win? The most recent game Montréal Canadiens won against Toronto Maple Leafs occurred on Sat, 27 Sept 25, illustrating that they are not without hope.

Form-Based Prediction: Montréal Canadiens to prevail

Looking at team momentum before this fixture, Toronto Maple Leafs faced a loss vs Detroit Red Wings with a result of 5-6. Montréal Canadiens faced a loss up against Ottawa Senators with a score of 1-3. Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 10 games in all competitions, while Montréal Canadiens triumphed in 5 of their recent 10 games in all competitions, suggesting perhaps Montréal Canadiens have an edge approaching this match.

A comparison of team trends reveals valuable insight into momentum in order to place the best bets

Versus All Teams Streaks:

• Toronto Maple Leafs: 3 Losses.
• Toronto Maple Leafs: First period winner in 5 of 6.
• Toronto Maple Leafs: More than 5.5 goals in 5 of 7.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Best Bookie Odds For The Match

Winner (incl. overtime and penalties)

1W

1.602

2W

2.5

Total

> 5.5

1.76

< 5.5

2.15

> 1.5

1

< 1.5

1

> 2.5

1.05

< 2.5

10.5

> 3.5

1.15

< 3.5

5.4

Over Under Player Goals (incl. overtime)

> 0.5

5.81

< 0.5

1.724

Over Under Player Shots On Goal (incl. overtime)

> 1.5

1.934

< 1.5

2.49

> 2.5

2.52

< 2.5

2.03

> 3.5

1.729

< 3.5

2.02

Regular Time Result

1W

1.87

2W

3.4

X

4.5

Total (incl. overtime and penalties)

> 5.5

1.76

< 5.5

2.1

> 6.5

2.23

< 6.5

1.67

> 7.5

3.6

< 7.5

1.28

> 8.5

5.1

< 8.5

1.16

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Tips

Total (incl. overtime and penalties) 5.5 → Over stands out as a decent bet → 1.76