Get all the details for the staking market for the Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston clash for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 23, 2025, in this preview below. Get all the Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston forecasts, best bets and odds for this match in the our report beneath.
Pick Based On Odds: Hugo Gaston to triumph
- Calculated via the sportsbook odds, Hugo Gaston are the favorite to come out on top in this fixture with a 61.42% chance to win. A good prediction? We think so, due to Oddsmakers produce sharp predictions:
Sebastian Ofner → 2.50
Hugo Gaston → 1.57Prediction Chance Of Win Sebastian Ofner 38.58 % Hugo Gaston 61.42 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
- According to the odds for the first set, the prediction leans towards Hugo Gaston with odds of 1.6 and an implied probability of 59.80%. This implies Sebastian Ofner is expected to take the early lead.:
Sebastian Ofner → undefined
Hugo Gaston → 1.60Prediction Chance Of First Sets first_set_1 40.20 % Hugo Gaston 59.80 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Sebastian Ofner to win
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | 2 |
| Hugo Gaston | 1 |
Head-to-Head: Sebastian Ofner (2 – 1) Hugo Gaston.
Sebastian Ofner to win. The reason? Over the last 3 direct games between them, Sebastian Ofner are ahead 2 – 1. Our head to head analysis goes back to the battle between them in 2020. This indicates that Sebastian Ofner should get the victory in this scheduled battle. Their most recent match between them was on the Fri, 12 May 23, when Sebastian Ofner secured a 3-6-7 – 6-3-6(4) win.
Hugo Gaston have never got the win against Sebastian Ofner suggesting they have little chance.
Form-Based Prediction: No clear favorite
Analyzing recent form before this game, Sebastian Ofner faced a loss vs Vilius Gaubas with a result of 6-3-3/4-6-6. Hugo Gaston secured victory facing Luca Nardi with a result of 6-6/4-2. Sebastian Ofner have triumphed in 4 of their recent 10 matches versus all opponents, while Hugo Gaston got the victory in 4 of their last 10 matches versus all opponents, indicating maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: null
- Sebastian Ofner has won 5 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Hugo Gaston has secured 5 victories over the same range.
- Sebastian Ofner has been winning 45% of his own second serve points, and 50% of his opponents, while Hugo Gaston has won 41% of his second serve points and 45% of his opponents.
- Sebastian Ofner comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Vilius Gaubas in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- Hugo Gaston comes into this match having won a 1 hour 20 min battle vs Luca Nardi in which he managed to win 38% of return points (62/162), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Sebastian Ofner has been holding serve 0% of the time (0/0), while Hugo Gaston has held his serve 80% of the time (20/25.
Career Performance Prediction: null
- Sebastian Ofner has a career high ranking of 153, while Hugo Gaston has a career high rank of 80.
- Sebastian Ofner has claimed 9 Career titles and career earnings of $13,39,735, versus 8 trophies for Hugo Gaston and $15,64,325 prize money.
- Sebastian Ofner has a 52% deciding set win % (61/118), compared to 63% for Hugo Gaston (50/80)
- The 1st serve of Sebastian Ofner has resulted in him winning 55% of points, and Hugo Gaston has won 55% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 49% for Sebastian Ofner and 51% for Hugo Gaston.
- After losing the first set, Sebastian Ofner manages to turn the match around and win it 29% of the time, and Hugo Gaston has a 24% record in eventually winning the match.







