Access all the insights regarding the bookmaking market for the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek contest for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 30, 2025, in this preview below. We uncover the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek forecasts, betting tips and odds markets for this game in the breakdown beneath.
Who The Odds Predict: Iga Swiatek to triumph
- Derived via the sportsbook odds, Iga Swiatek are favored to get the victory in this fixture with a 68.94% probability to win. An accurate tip? Yes, as Oddsmakers know their calculations:
Madison Keys → 3.13
Iga Swiatek → 1.41Prediction Chance Of Win Iga Swiatek 68.94 % Madison Keys 31.06 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
- Based on the odds for the first set, the prediction leans towards Iga Swiatek with odds of 1.47 and an implied probability of 65.74%. This suggests Madison Keys is expected to come out on top early in the match.:
Madison Keys → undefined
Iga Swiatek → 2.82Prediction Chance Of First Sets Iga Swiatek 65.74 % first_set_1 34.26 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Iga Swiatek to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 2 |
| Iga Swiatek | 4 |
Head-to-Head: Madison Keys (2 – 4) Iga Swiatek.
Iga Swiatek to win. Why? Analyzing the last 6 H2H fixtures between these teams, Iga Swiatek lead 2 – 4. Our head to head data goes back to the battle between them in 2021. This suggests that Iga Swiatek are likely to win in this upcoming game. The last match between them happened on the Thu, 23 Jan 25, where Madison Keys achieved a 5-6-7 – 7-1-6(8) win.
Madison Keys have never got the victory Vs Iga Swiatek showing they have a low probability.
Current Form Prediction: Iga Swiatek to get the victory
Considering team momentum heading into this match, Madison Keys got the win up against Donna Vekic with a score of 6-6/2-3. Iga Swiatek claimed a win against Diana Shnaider with a score of 6-6-6/0-7(3)-4. Madison Keys have triumphed in 7 of their recent 10 matches versus all opponents, whereas Iga Swiatek prevailed in 8 of their recent 10 games in all competitions, indicating maybe Iga Swiatek have an edge heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Iga Swiatek
- Madison Keys has won 7 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Iga Swiatek has secured 7 victories over the same range.
- Madison Keys has been winning 43% of his own second serve points, and 48% of his opponents, while Iga Swiatek has won 40% of his second serve points and 50% of his opponents.
- Madison Keys comes into this match having won a 1 hour 16 min battle vs Donna Vekic in which he managed to win 48% of return points (93/193), hitting 10 aces himself during the match.
- Iga Swiatek comes into this match having won a 2 hours 34 min battle vs Diana Shnaider in which he managed to win 49% of return points (114/234), hitting 15 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Madison Keys has been holding serve 80% of the time (24/30), while Iga Swiatek has held his serve 78% of the time (29/37.
Career Performance Prediction: Iga Swiatek
- Madison Keys has a career high ranking of 5, while Iga Swiatek has a career high rank of 2.
- Madison Keys has claimed 14 Career titles and career earnings of $1,99,46,732, versus 30 trophies for Iga Swiatek and $2,87,78,135 prize money.
- Madison Keys has a 49% deciding set win % (23/47), compared to 69% for Iga Swiatek (20/29)
- The 1st serve of Madison Keys has resulted in him winning 64% of points, and Iga Swiatek has won 59% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 49% for Madison Keys and 53% for Iga Swiatek.
- After losing the first set, Madison Keys manages to turn the match around and win it 14% of the time, and Iga Swiatek has a 40% record in eventually winning the match.
