Access all the information around betting market for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo clash for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the May 1, 2025, here. Learn the Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo predictions, betting tips and odds markets for this encounter in the breakdown beneath.
Odds-Based Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti to win
- Derived from the bookies odds, Lorenzo Musetti are favored to get the victory in this match with a 72.45% probability to win. A good prediction? Most likely, as Sportsbooks are skilled at predicting:
Lorenzo Musetti → 1.35
Gabriel Diallo → 3.55Prediction Chance Of Win Gabriel Diallo 27.55 % Lorenzo Musetti 72.45 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.
- According to the odds for the first set, bookmakers favor Gabriel Diallo with odds of 1.36 and an implied probability of 71.25%. This suggests Lorenzo Musetti is expected to come out on top early in the match.:
Lorenzo Musetti → undefined
Gabriel Diallo → 1.36Prediction Chance Of First Sets Gabriel Diallo 28.75 % first_set_1 71.25 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Nip and tuck
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 1 |
Head To Head: Lorenzo Musetti (1 – 1) Gabriel Diallo.
It’s too close to call! Can either team break the deadlock? Across the past 2 direct matches between them, both teams are evenly matched. Our head-to-head data starts from the battle they had in 2023. This suggests that the scheduled face-off is nip and tuck. The latest fixture was on the Thu, 02 Jan 25, where Lorenzo Musetti secured a 6-6 – 4-3 victory.
Will this be the match that sets them apart? Both Lorenzo Musetti and Gabriel Diallo have an equal H2H record. This upcoming match will be a battle for dominance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Lorenzo Musetti to prevail
Examining recent form before this fixture, Lorenzo Musetti triumphed versus Alex De Minaur with a score of 6-6/4-2. Gabriel Diallo triumphed vs Grigor Dimitrov with a score of 5-7-6/7-6(7)-4. Lorenzo Musetti have won 6 of their last 10 matches versus all opponents, whereas Gabriel Diallo won 5 of their recent 10 fixtures against all teams, suggesting maybe Lorenzo Musetti are in the better form approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 8 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Gabriel Diallo has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Lorenzo Musetti has been winning 44% of his own second serve points, and 45% of his opponents, while Gabriel Diallo has won 48% of his second serve points and 41% of his opponents.
- Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match having won a 1 hour 23 min battle vs Alex De Minaur in which he managed to win 40% of return points (82/206), hitting 8 aces himself during the match.
- Gabriel Diallo comes into this match having won a 2 hours 22 min battle vs Grigor Dimitrov in which he managed to win 35% of return points (167/471), hitting 47 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Lorenzo Musetti has been holding serve 94% of the time (30/32), while Gabriel Diallo has held his serve 91% of the time (68/75.
Career Performance Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti
- Lorenzo Musetti has a career high ranking of 11, while Gabriel Diallo has a career high rank of 78.
- Lorenzo Musetti has claimed 6 Career titles and career earnings of $55,30,905, versus 5 trophies for Gabriel Diallo and $8,77,820 prize money.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 65% deciding set win % (40/62), compared to 62% for Gabriel Diallo (8/13)
- The 1st serve of Lorenzo Musetti has resulted in him winning 66% of points, and Gabriel Diallo has won 67% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Lorenzo Musetti and 52% for Gabriel Diallo.
- After losing the first set, Lorenzo Musetti manages to turn the match around and win it 32% of the time, and Gabriel Diallo has a 33% record in eventually winning the match.
