Access all the insights regarding the gambling market for the Kei Nishikori vs Denis Shapovalov match for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 26, 2025, in our analysis here. We reveal the Kei Nishikori vs Denis Shapovalov picks, betting tips & odds for this encounter in the section beneath.
Prediction Indicated By Odds: Denis Shapovalov to secure the win
- Calculated via the sportsbook odds, Denis Shapovalov are the pick to win in this match with a 54.28% chance to win. Is this accurate? Yes, because Sportsbooks have their metrics figured out:
Kei Nishikori → 2.09
Denis Shapovalov → 1.76Prediction Chance Of Win Kei Nishikori 45.72 % Denis Shapovalov 54.28 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
- Based on the odds for the first set, bookmakers favor Denis Shapovalov with odds of 1.76 and an implied probability of 54.64%. This implies Kei Nishikori is expected to take the early lead.:
Kei Nishikori → undefined
Denis Shapovalov → 1.76Prediction Chance Of First Sets first_set_1 45.36 % Denis Shapovalov 54.64 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Kei Nishikori to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Kei Nishikori | 2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1 |
Head To Head: Kei Nishikori (2 – 1) Denis Shapovalov.
Kei Nishikori to win. Why? Across the past 3 direct encounters between these two sides, Kei Nishikori are winning 2 – 1. Our H2H analysis starts from the battle they had in 2018. This implies that Kei Nishikori are likely to get the victory in this scheduled fixture. Their most recent match took place on the Tue, 31 Dec 24, where Kei Nishikori got a 6-6 – 2-3 win.
Denis Shapovalov have never won Vs Kei Nishikori indicating they have little chance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: A 50/50 call
Looking at team momentum before this game, Kei Nishikori triumphed versus Aleksandar Vukic with a result of 6-3-6/4-6-3. Denis Shapovalov were beaten vs Diego Dedura-Palomero with a result of 6(2)-0-/7-3-ret.. Kei Nishikori have got the victory in 5 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, while Denis Shapovalov got the victory in 5 of their last 10 fixtures against all teams, indicating maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: null
- Kei Nishikori has won 6 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Denis Shapovalov has secured 5 victories over the same range.
- Kei Nishikori has been winning 45% of his own second serve points, and 49% of his opponents, while Denis Shapovalov has won 45% of his second serve points and 45% of his opponents.
- Kei Nishikori comes into this match having won a 1 hour 59 min battle vs Aleksandar Vukic in which he managed to win 39% of return points (39/101), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- Denis Shapovalov comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Diego Dedura-Palomero in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Kei Nishikori has been holding serve 86% of the time (12/14), while Denis Shapovalov has held his serve 0% of the time (0/0.
Career Performance Prediction: null
- Kei Nishikori has a career high ranking of 64, while Denis Shapovalov has a career high rank of 30.
- Kei Nishikori has claimed 21 Career titles and career earnings of $1,90,68,485, versus 9 trophies for Denis Shapovalov and $92,14,620 prize money.
- Kei Nishikori has a 71% deciding set win % (45/63), compared to 53% for Denis Shapovalov (19/36)
- The 1st serve of Kei Nishikori has resulted in him winning 63% of points, and Denis Shapovalov has won 58% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 53% for Kei Nishikori and 51% for Denis Shapovalov.
- After losing the first set, Kei Nishikori manages to turn the match around and win it 35% of the time, and Denis Shapovalov has a 18% record in eventually winning the match.
